South African Politics

SA’s regional supremacy, once unquestioned, is dented – perhaps irreparably

"Trump derangement syndrome" is a political condition whose etymology is traced to the late conservative commentator and psychiatrist Charles Krauthammer. He defined it, first in respect of another Republican president, George W. Bush, as "the acute onset of paranoia in otherwise normal people in reaction to the policies, the presidency - nay – the very [...]

Where’s the ‘good faith’ in the GNU? Unmasking the breaches

The well-known jurist, Mr Justice Fikile Mbalula, has rendered judgment. Opining from the X (previously Twitter) division of the High Court on Monday, in the matter of a contractual dispute between two parties (Cyril Ramaphosa in his capacity as president of SA, and John Steenhuisen, on behalf of the DA), Mbalula J., held: "Clause 19 does [...]

No growth for SA without a strategy

Does South Africa and its government have a growth strategy? This simple but fundamental question consists, of course, of two parts. And no easy answers. First the "growth" part. Libraries of books and gridfuls of electrons underline why economic growth is the fundamental basis for all other arenas of public goods, from human upliftment (and its [...]

The pyrrhic victories of Cyril Ramaphosa: When triumphs mask the seeds of demise

French philosopher Jean-Paul Sartre once mused: "If a victory is told in detail, one can no longer distinguish it from a defeat." This thought is useful to interrogate the recent flurry of announcements from President Cyril Ramaphosa. A win? Start with the Basic Education Laws Amendment Act (BELA) "win" of mid-December 2024. On the day of [...]

When empty taps speak louder than the actions of politicians

The late US Secretary of State, General Colin Powell, popularised the "Pottery Barn rule" - named after the American chain store, as a guide to political consequences for strategic decisions, both taken and avoided. It went along the lines of "if you break it, you fix it; if you break it, you own it". This [...]

Ramaphosa’s Cabinet reshuffle: A questionable commitment to ethical governance

In 1908, Winston Churchill was first appointed to the British cabinet. He would go on to star at the centre of power, on and off, for another 50 years. Later, recalling his first summons to high office by Prime Minister HH Asquith, he wrote: "When offering me Cabinet office in his government in 1908, he [...]

BELA and GNU: A storm of worsening dilemmas for the Presidency

Was it the heat in Thabazimbi on Sunday or, perhaps, he was stung when his party provincial secretary in KwaZulu-Natal labelled him "weak"? Whatever the cause, by the usual "aural valium" standard of many of Cyril Ramaphosa's remarks, his attack on the process which led to a settlement of the contentious Basic Education Laws Amendment [...]

Echoes of populism: The Peronists in Argentina, the Zumas in SA, the Trumps in the US

A core task of an ambassador is to put the best gloss abroad on challenging aspects on the home front. True to this idea, on the eve of his departure to the United States as ambassador-designate, Ebrahim Rasool said of the fragile GNU here, and the exclusion of Jacob Zuma's MK Party from it: "There [...]

Will Trump buy what Rasool is selling?

"Retrospective clairvoyance" was the arch phrase of Clive James for the miraculous ability of pundits (me included) to deduce this week an event that was "inevitable" last week, though it was not actually seen as likely at the time. Thus, the sweeping win of Donald Trump last Tuesday has birthed endless analyses of why it [...]

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