Finance

From chaos theory to market reality: How minor shifts lead to major financial storms

"The butterfly effect" explains how a butterfly flapping its wings in the Amazon triggers a massive storm across Europe. As John Gribbin explains the work of meteorologist Edward Lorenz, who first developed this chaos theory: Some systems are very sensitive to their starting conditions, so that a tiny difference in the initial push you give [...]

Ramaphosa’s game of bluff despite the mirror behind him

British statesman Roy Jenkins wrote of the life and career of French soldier-leader Charles de Gaulle that “compared with his companions on the world stage [De Gaulle] had mostly to play a poor hand from a weak seat”, adding that “he behaved in a way which, seeking grandeur, invited ridicule, yet always escaped it. He was [...]

I hear you like big numbers, Mr President, so let’s zero in on that 12 million

Writing in the Financial Times this week, Sarah O’Connor confessed: “I hate big numbers. Or rather I hate it when big numbers are used to impress or bamboozle rather than to make sense of the world.” This struck a chord when I recalled a senior maven at our National Treasury advising: “Cyril [Ramaphosa] loves big [...]

As we teeter on the brink of the abyss, the silence of big business is deafening

The cavalcade of chaos and crises confronting South Africa right now, with electricity outages a daily grim reminder of our failing state, is probably an excellent moment to roll out the tattered red carpet in Pretoria for the visiting representative of an even more failed enterprise than our own: Russia. The presence in our capital [...]

Will Tito simply balance the books or throw the book at power?

Having ascended to the second-most-important job in politics, he should contemplate this Ratings agencies, taxpayers, investors and hard-pressed consumers will focus laser-attention on the pronouncements of new finance minister Tito Mboweni when he delivers his “maiden” mini-budget speech in parliament this afternoon. But there is nothing virginal about Mboweni’s cabinet status. He returns to the [...]

By |2018-10-24T07:03:15+00:00October 24th, 2018|Finance, Finance Minister, FW de Klerk, Uncategorized|0 Comments

Can our finance minister come up with a credible reform plan?

'Neither Nene nor his credible successor has such fires to light under the embers of our weak economy' Nearly one hundred years ago, Danish physicist and philosopher Niels Bohr wrote that ‘ The opposite of a fact is a falsehood, but the opposite of one profound truth may  be another profound truth’. These past five [...]

By |2018-10-10T13:58:59+00:00October 10th, 2018|Finance, Finance Minister, Uncategorized|0 Comments

It’s land now. Will it end with the death penalty?

The trouble with changing the Constitution is that it opens the Pandora's Box of populism Last week, South Africa endured a terrible, awful and simply bad few days. Problem is that our troubles are now arriving, to channel Shakespeare, ‘not as single spies but in battalions.’ Emerging market contagion was the start of it, currency [...]

By |2018-09-13T08:48:40+00:00September 13th, 2018|Cyril Ramaphosa, Finance, South African Politics|0 Comments

Corporate world afraid to unite against the presidential road to ruin

Fearful kakophony drowns business voice, writes Tony Leon. 'Who do I call when I want to speak to Europe?" Apparently, Henry Kissinger never uttered this great quip attributed to him, on the impossibility of receiving a coherent and unified response from the EU. But the line is useful shorthand right now, with local substitution, to [...]

South Africa: Between a snafu and a fubar

On Zuma's watch, growth has halved, the national debt has doubled and another million are unemployed THERE‘S a grim choice confronting the US electorate in November between the two most unpopular candidates in polling history. This caused Harvard history professor Niall Ferguson — one of the most erudite and eloquent people on the planet — [...]

Snapshots of greed, gestures of change, and genuine hope

Political gestures can be low-cost or ultra-expensive, harmless or dangerous, provide evidence of sunset on the old order or can morph into a false dawn. Political assassinations are at the extreme end of such symbolism. One hundred and two years ago, the murder in Sarajevo of Archduke Franz Ferdinand, heir to the Austro-Hungarian Empire, famously [...]

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